This is big news for the Obama Campaign. Yes, he is only up one point (45%-44%), which is obviously well within the poll's margin of error. But when you start seeing polls such as this one and the ones in North Carolina that also have him within the margin of error--down two points or so--you can see where claims about expanding the map are more than just rhetoric.
The key internal point in this poll--Obama is leading among moderates 56% to 30%. That is huge, and important after all the Reverend Wright/flag lapel/Muslim nonsense which was meant to scare away these very often suburban, white voters. Here are some more important internals that bode well for The Obama Campaign:
Economic issues are the number one concern of 38% of Virginia voters, with another nine percent (9%) citing fiscal issues as preeminent; 28% rate national security as most important.
Fifty-three percent (53%) of voters say bringing the troops home from Iraq is more important than winning the war (41%).
For 65%, government has become a special interest group of its own, with 19% opposed. By similar margins, 69% of Virginia voters think government does not represent the will of the people, but 19% think it does. These figures are similar to the national average. The new survey also finds that in the race for the U.S. Senate Democrat Mark Warner is stretching out his lead over Republican candidate Jim Gilmore. Republicans have many potentially vulnerable Senate seats in Election 2008, but none appears a safer bet to switch parties than Virginia.
Right now only 37% of Virginia voters say Bush is doing a good to excellent job as president, with 48% rating his performance as poor.
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Where could they get 37% still on the W team? Amazing. Otherwise, really interesting conclusions. Surely the time for change has come…so exciting to consider a quite large group of new voters.
Thanks Cliff.
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Thank you as always Boo
Well, it did take him until a few months back to finally fall below 50% in Utah, making it all 50 states…So by that measure, the people of Virginia are looking quite good (not to mention Mark Warner, Jim Webb and Tim Kaine).